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Post by Tiberius on Sept 21, 2011 18:05:21 GMT -5
According to a study completed a few months ago done on a group of 8 Israeli parole board members over 1112 rulings, it was found that at the beginning of the day, a judge granted parole 65% of the time. Over the course of the day, until their assigned lunch break, this number decreased to almost zero. After lunch, the number returned to 65%, decreasing once more until the end of the day. Study itself.Article on the study.This... is pretty damn startling. I mean, I would have expected some sort of decrease of parole likelyhood based on things like mood and time of day, but nothing so severe as this.
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Post by Vene on Sept 21, 2011 18:21:50 GMT -5
We talked about this in my ethics class, it has to do with decision fatigue. People can only make so many decisions before they no longer care.
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Post by ltfred on Sept 21, 2011 18:28:16 GMT -5
Three hundred years of legislation and common law, billions of hours of effort and this is the result.
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Post by booley on Sept 21, 2011 19:15:13 GMT -5
According to a study completed a few months ago done on a group of 8 Israeli parole board members over 1112 rulings, it was found that at the beginning of the day, a judge granted parole 65% of the time. Over the course of the day, until their assigned lunch break, this number decreased to almost zero. After lunch, the number returned to 65%, decreasing once more until the end of the day. This... is pretty damn startling. I mean, I would have expected some sort of decrease of parole likelyhood based on things like mood and time of day, but nothing so severe as this. I can see it. Peopel generally feel better after they eat. Gods know I will kill your entire family up to 7 generations with a spork when I get hypoglycemic. But afterward I much more magnanimous. Only 2 generations. Hobbits have it right. Happiness is a full belly.
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Post by Vene on Sept 21, 2011 19:24:04 GMT -5
Three hundred years of legislation and common law, billions of hours of effort and this is the result. Undone by the power of human bias and the limits of the mind.
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Post by ltfred on Sept 21, 2011 19:25:45 GMT -5
Three hundred years of legislation and common law, billions of hours of effort and this is the result. Undone by the power of human bias and the limits of the mind. Shall we find some other animal to judge us, then?
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Post by Vene on Sept 21, 2011 19:28:57 GMT -5
Undone by the power of human bias and the limits of the mind. Shall we find some other animal to judge us, then? Nah, just try to schedule things where people have to make important decisions about you (such as job interviews) either in the morning or soon after lunch.
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Post by ironbite on Sept 21, 2011 19:50:04 GMT -5
Let's have the sphinx judge us all.
Ironbite-that'd be fair.
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Post by Admiral Lithp on Sept 21, 2011 21:14:11 GMT -5
Is there any chance that the people being reviewed get, generally speaking, worse closer to lunch time?
I don't doubt the fatigue element of it, but it might be more than one factor.
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Post by Thejebusfire on Sept 21, 2011 21:31:06 GMT -5
Hobbits have it right. Happiness is a full belly. Should we declare an offical second breakfast?
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Post by Admiral Lithp on Sept 21, 2011 21:44:06 GMT -5
It would actually be a good idea, since if you increase the number of meals you eat, you gain less weight.
Also, 8 hours of sleep isn't "the optimal amount."
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Post by ltfred on Sept 21, 2011 22:00:07 GMT -5
It would actually be a good idea, since if you increase the number of meals you eat, you gain less weight. Only assuming that you don't eat way more. Which I'd be tempted to.
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Post by MaybeNever on Sept 22, 2011 0:55:38 GMT -5
Is there any chance that the people being reviewed get, generally speaking, worse closer to lunch time? I don't doubt the fatigue element of it, but it might be more than one factor. It might be, but it's very unlikely that there would be a systematic trend in that regard over any reasonable period of time. Now, there could be factors that aggravate the level of fatigue, but they'd have to be systematic. Accounting for decision fatigue is a huge element in experimental design. It can absolutely ruin data if one isn't prepared for it, so it seems completely feasible to me that fatigue alone accounts for the variance.
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Post by Dragon Zachski on Sept 22, 2011 2:31:27 GMT -5
It would actually be a good idea, since if you increase the number of meals you eat, you gain less weight. Also, 8 hours of sleep isn't "the optimal amount." Curiously speaking then, what is the optimal amount? And, if at all possible, I'd like to see an article talking about this.
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Post by Rat Of Steel on Sept 22, 2011 7:16:23 GMT -5
Hobbits have it right. Happiness is a full belly. Should we declare an offical second breakfast? I don't think he knows about second breakfast, Pip.
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